The stocks in this article have caught Wall Street’s attention in a big way, with price targets implying returns above 20%. But investors should take these forecasts with a grain of salt because analysts typically say nice things about companies so their firms can win business in other product lines like M&A advisory.
At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bullish calls are justified. That said, here is one stock where Wall Street’s excitement appears well-founded and two where analysts may be overlooking some important risks.
Two Stocks to Sell:
Disney (DIS)
Consensus Price Target: $127.22 (22.6% implied return)
Founded by brothers Walt and Roy, Disney (NYSE:DIS) is a multinational entertainment conglomerate, renowned for its theme parks, movies, television networks, and merchandise.
Why Are We Bearish on DIS?
- The company has faced growth challenges as its 9.2% annual revenue increases over the last five years fell short of other consumer discretionary companies
- Low free cash flow margin of 10.3% for the last two years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders
- Underwhelming 7.7% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities
At $103.78 per share, Disney trades at 13.9x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with DIS, check out our full research report (it’s free).
LGI Homes (LGIH)
Consensus Price Target: $93 (77.9% implied return)
Based in Texas, LGI Homes (NASDAQ:LGIH) is a homebuilding company specializing in constructing affordable, entry-level single-family homes in desirable communities across the United States.
Why Is LGIH Risky?
- Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 10.4% annually over the last five years
- Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
LGI Homes’s stock price of $52.28 implies a valuation ratio of 16.5x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including LGIH in your portfolio.
One Stock to Buy:
Shift4 (FOUR)
Consensus Price Target: $55.48 (41.6% implied return)
Starting as a payment gateway provider in 1999 and now processing over $200 billion in annual payment volume, Shift4 Payments (NYSE:FOUR) provides integrated payment processing solutions and software that help businesses accept and manage transactions across in-store, online, and mobile channels.
Why Should You Buy FOUR?
- Market share has increased this cycle as its 28.1% annual revenue growth over the last two years was exceptional
- Incremental sales over the last two years have been highly profitable as its earnings per share increased by 31.9% annually, topping its revenue gains
- Market-beating return on equity illustrates that management has a knack for investing in profitable ventures
Shift4 is trading at $39.17 per share, or 7x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.
High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions
ALSO WORTH WATCHING: Top 5 Momentum Stocks. The best time to own a great stock is when the market is finally noticing it. These aren’t just high-quality businesses. Something is happening with them right now. Elite fundamentals meet near-term momentum — both boxes checked at the same time.
Find out which stocks our AI platform is flagging this week. See this week’s Strong Momentum stocks — FREE. Get Our Strong Momentum Stocks for Free HERE.
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,460% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,552% between June 2020 and June 2025). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.