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3 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks We Find Risky

TDUP Cover Image

Wall Street has set ambitious price targets for the stocks in this article. While this suggests attractive upside potential, it’s important to remain skeptical because analysts face institutional pressures that can sometimes lead to overly optimistic forecasts.

At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bullish calls are justified. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where Wall Street may be overlooking some important risks and some alternatives with better fundamentals.

ThredUp (TDUP)

Consensus Price Target: $13 (19.3% implied return)

Founded to revolutionize thrifting, ThredUp (NASDAQ:TDUP) is a leading online fashion resale marketplace offering a wide selection of gently-used clothing and accessories.

Why Do We Think TDUP Will Underperform?

  1. Demand for its offerings was relatively low as its number of orders has underwhelmed
  2. Persistent operating margin losses suggest the business manages its expenses poorly
  3. Cash-burning tendencies make us wonder if it can sustainably generate shareholder value

ThredUp is trading at $10.90 per share, or 101.8x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including TDUP in your portfolio.

Golden Entertainment (GDEN)

Consensus Price Target: $33 (34% implied return)

Founded in 2001, Golden Entertainment (NASDAQ:GDEN) is a gaming company operating casinos, taverns, and distributed gaming platforms.

Why Does GDEN Fall Short?

  1. Products and services aren't resonating with the market as its revenue declined by 3.3% annually over the last five years
  2. Projected sales for the next 12 months are flat and suggest demand will be subdued
  3. Low free cash flow margin of 3.3% for the last two years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders

Golden Entertainment’s stock price of $24.63 implies a valuation ratio of 31.8x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with GDEN, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Purple (PRPL)

Consensus Price Target: $2.53 (130% implied return)

Founded by two brothers, Purple (NASDAQ:PRPL) creates sleep and home comfort products such as mattresses, pillows, and bedding accessories.

Why Is PRPL Risky?

  1. Products and services have few die-hard fans as sales have declined by 2.9% annually over the last five years
  2. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value
  3. Limited cash reserves may force the company to seek unfavorable financing terms that could dilute shareholders

At $1.10 per share, Purple trades at 13.1x forward EV-to-EBITDA. If you’re considering PRPL for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

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